The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 40.9% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will win 59.1%. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to achieve 59.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.