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Crosstab model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.4% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 57.7%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to collect only 42.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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