The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 43.9% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will end up with 56.1%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to gain only 43.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Indiana.