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Indiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 43.8% for Clinton, and 56.2% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to garner 56.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Indiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Indiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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