Crosstab model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.8% for Clinton, and 63.2% for Trump in Idaho.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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