Idaho: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 36.7% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will end up with 63.3%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 36.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.