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Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 48.6% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will end up with 51.4%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 48.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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