Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 48.5% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will win 51.5%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to gain 48.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.