Crosstab model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 48.5% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will win 51.5%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to gain 48.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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