Crosstab model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton, and 47.9% for Trump in Florida. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to gain only 51.1% of the vote.

Florida is traditionally a purple state, where Republicans and Democrats have historically achieved similar levels of voter support. Hence, the election outcome here is regarded crucial in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Florida. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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