Crosstab model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.8% for Clinton, and 49.2% for Trump in Florida. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect 52.1% of the vote.

In Florida, the election outcome is often close. This is the reason why the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 51.1% of the two-party vote in Florida. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Florida.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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