Crosstab model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 60.1% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 39.9%. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to gain 60.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 60.2% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.