Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.3% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 47.7%. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to gain 47.3% of the vote.

In Colorado, the popular vote is usually close. This is why the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they can contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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