Arkansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 40.7% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, while Trump will end up with 59.4%. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to garner 59.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arkansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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