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Arizona: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.3% for Clinton, and 51.7% for Trump in Arizona. In comparison, on October 31, Clinton was predicted to gain 48.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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