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Crosstab model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 43.6% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, whereas Trump will end up with 56.5%. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to achieve 57.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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