Connecticut: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.7% for Clinton, and 42.3% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was still predicted to achieve 42.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.