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Connecticut: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.5% for Clinton, and 42.5% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was predicted to garner 41.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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