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Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.0% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 47.0%.

Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is the reason why forecasts here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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