The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 53.0% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, whereas Trump will win 47.0%.
Historically, Colorado has been a battleground state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is the reason why forecasts here are of particular importance.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.