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Arkansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead


The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 40.8% for Clinton, and 59.3% for Trump in Arkansas. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to collect 60.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arkansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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