The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 48.5% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will win 51.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.