Crosstab model in Arizona: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 48.4% for Clinton, and 51.6% for Trump in Arizona. In comparison, on October 30 Trump was predicted to collect 51.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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