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Crosstab model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 45.0% for Clinton, and 55.0% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 31 Trump was predicted to obtain 54.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.1% of the two-party vote in Alaska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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