The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 45.3% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, whereas Trump will end up with 54.7%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to gain only 43.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Alaska.