Alabama: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 39.6% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, while Trump will win 60.4%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to win 39.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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