West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will win 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.