Washington: Substantial lead for Clinton in new University of WashingtonUniv. Of Washington poll

Results of a new poll carried out by University of WashingtonUniv. Of Washington were distributed. The poll asked participants from Washington for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

The results show that 53.0% of participants plan to cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 39.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from October 6 to October 13 among 750 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-4.4 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Democratic and the Republican candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 57.6% for Clinton and 42.4% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. That is, Polly's prediction is 1.4 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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