DeSart model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 91.9% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will win 8.1%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 89.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.