Vermont: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 69.6% for Clinton, and 30.5% for Trump in Vermont.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.