Vermont: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 70.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 29.6%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.