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Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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