The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 49.1% for Clinton, and 50.9% for Trump in Ohio.
In Ohio, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly referred to as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 49.2% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.