The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 50.5% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will win 49.5%. In comparison, on October 30, Clinton was predicted to collect only 50.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.