New Emerson poll in Connecticut: Clinton with strong advantage

Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

According to the results, 50.0% of participants would cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5, among a random sample of 1000 likely voters. Considering the poll's margin of error of +/-3.0 percentage points, the spread between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't focus too much on the results of a single poll. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 1.0 point above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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