Massachusetts: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 33.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 65.6% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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