Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.4%.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 89.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.