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DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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