DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 35.7% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, while Trump will win 64.3%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 64.2% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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