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DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 65.5% for Clinton, and 34.5% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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