The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 64.9% for Clinton, and 35.1% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 70.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.