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Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 64.1% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will end up with 35.9%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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