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Bio-index model: Clinton is in the lead

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The Bio-index model is part of the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 58.3% for Clinton, and 41.7% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, index models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single index model. Rather than trusting the results from single index models, you should consult combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other index models

Clinton is currently at 53.1% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent index models. This value is 5.2 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Bio-index index model.

The Bio-index model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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