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Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 69.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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