The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 92.2% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will end up with 7.8%. In comparison, on October 29 Trump was predicted to gain 7.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 89.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.