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Pennsylvania: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 53.2% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, whereas Trump will end up with 46.8%. In comparison, on October 29 Trump was predicted to obtain 46.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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