Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 43.4%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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