The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.3% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will end up with 47.7%.
Ohio is traditionally a battleground state, where Republicans and Democrats have often achieved similar voter support. Hence, the election outcome here is viewed as critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in Ohio. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.