The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.8% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will end up with 45.2%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can include substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.