The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.