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Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Utah. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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