The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 51.6% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, whereas Trump will win 48.4%.
In Ohio, the popular vote is usually close. Therefore, the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in Ohio. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.