DeSart & Holbrook model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 68.3% for Clinton, and 31.7% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 70.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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