DeSart & Holbrook model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 68.3% for Clinton, and 31.7% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 70.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.